Two wins, two pushes, and one lose. I can live with that. Of course the one time I pick the Colts, they choke. The worst part is they didn't even lose the game. Here we go, on to week 6.
Cincinnati Bengals (-5-1/2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is terrible against the run, giving up 163 yards per game. Look for Rudi Johnson to have a big game against the aging Bucs defense. Tampa Bay has also had lots of trouble scoring this year, only getting 12 points per game, good for 30th in the league.
Buffalo Bills (-1-1/2) at Detroit Lions
The Lions are amazingly bad and the Bills are better than their record. Detroit does not even try to run the ball, they're 30th in the NFL at 60 yards/game. The Bills D should have a big game against the absent minded Jon Kitna. Especially when they don't have to worry about the run at all.
Seattle Seahawks at St. Louis Rams (-3-1/2)
Without Shaun Alexander the Seahawks are going to have a tough day against a very good Rams defense. Meanwhile the Rams offense is kicking on all cylinders. They rank in the top 10 in both points and yards per game. Rams 27 Hawks 13.
New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons (-3)
Atlanta is taking the "run the ball and stop the run" creed to heart. They are number 1 in rush offense (234.3) and number 2 in rush defense (70.5). I look for them to run all over the Giants defense at home.
Oakland Raiders at Denver Broncos (-15)
At this point it should be illegal to pick against the Raiders, it's just too easy. If they score more than 1 point I will be utterly shocked. Plus the Denver D is really really good.
Last Week: 2-1-2